Campaigning for victory

September 22, 2024

The second attempt on Trump’s life has added an unexpected dimension to the US election campaign

Campaigning for victory


T

he ongoing election campaign in the Unites States has been marked by sharp contrasts between the strategies of the Harris-led Democrats and the Trump-led Republicans. As the race intensifies, both sides are mobilising significant resources and adopting distinct approaches to sway voters, particularly in crucial swing states such as Pennsylvania. The American media plays a pivotal role in shaping public perceptions and narratives.

The Democrats, led by Vice President Kamala Harris, have concentrated their campaign strategy on emphasising social justice, economic equality and climate change. Harris’s campaign has sought to highlight the administration’s achievements in areas such as infrastructure and healthcare, creating more jobs, reducing inflation and sustaining macroeconomic indicators. Their political rivals disagree with the narrative. The Democrats have also focused on mobilising grassroots support through extensive voter registration drives and community engagement efforts. They have leveraged digital platforms to reach younger voters and marginalised communities, aiming to build a political and social coalition that reflects the diverse demographic landscape of the country.

Campaigning for victory

As elections approach, both the parties and their presidential nominees are reaching out to potential voters all over the country. The so-called swing states, seen as the ultimate battlegrounds in electoral terms, have attracted the attention of campaign strategists of both the parties. States such as Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, where the margins of victory can be razor-thin, are being heavily contested. The Democrats have invested in targeted advertising and grassroots organising in these states, seeking to appeal to both disenchanted former Trump supporters and undecided voters. Their strategy involves a mix of emphasising local issues and presenting a clear contrast to Republican policies, hoping to build a broad-based coalition capable of securing these critical electoral votes in the November election.

The Trump-led Republicans are pursuing a campaign strategy centred on a strong message of populism, super-patriotism, religious/ social conservatism and hyper-nationalism. Trump’s campaign continues to emphasise themes of economic revival, law and order, and a robust stance on immigration. Moreover, his approach involves a significant focus on rallying his base with socio-political vibes that resonate with their perceived grievances and ideals for making the US great ‘again.’ Trump campaign has also employed a highly aggressive media strategy, utilising rallies, social media and right-leaning news outlets to galvanise support and counteract negative narratives. In swing states such as Georgia and Nevada, the Republicans are using a strategy of reinforcing their core base while attempting to sway undecided voters through a mix of fear and hope. They have invested heavily in advertisements that underscore perceived threats to American values and economic stability under the Biden-led democratic dispensation.

States such as Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, where the margins of victory can be razor-thin, are being heavily contested. The Democrats have invested in targeted advertising and grassroots organising in these states, seeking to appeal to both disenchanted former Trump supporters and undecided voters.

With respect to political communication, both the parties are overwhelmingly relying on some of the powerful media houses of the country. As usual, the American media is playing a crucial role in these campaigns in terms of acting as both a battleground and a megaphone for voicing competing narratives. Generally, media outlets, whether mainstream or partisan, shape public perception through their varied coverage of campaign events, political debates and personal scandals of top candidates such as Trump whom the pro-Democrats media machinery is grilling beyond imagination. The portrayal of candidates, the framing of issues and prioritising particular issues and topics over others can significantly influence voter attitudes and electoral choices. Such polarisation of the media landscape has exacerbated partisan divides, with each side often presenting narratives that reinforce their respective political biases at the expense of established facts.

The second attempt on Trump’s life has added a new layer of suspense to the election campaign. The incident has not only heightened security concerns but also intensified the political rhetoric surrounding the campaign. His supporters have framed the assassination attempts as a symbol of a larger political conspiracy against them. His critics argue that it reflects the dangerous consequences of the inflammatory rhetoric often employed by Trump and his allies to undermine the democratic values and institutions and, above all, a wide section of non-racist American population that is essentially pluralist and egalitarian.

As the electoral campaign moves into the final months, its trajectory is likely to be influenced by several factors. The impact of ongoing economic conditions, developments in key policy areas and the effectiveness of each campaign’s messaging will be crucial factors. In addition, the candidates’ ability to address emerging issues and respond to unexpected events will play a significant role in shaping the electoral outcome. The intensity of the media coverage and the public reaction to the candidates’ performance in media debates will also be pivotal in determining the final dynamics of the race. Another factor that will structurally impact not only the electoral campaign but also the election results is the role of the campaign donors. As the new face of the Democratic Party, Harris is likely to receive more donations from contributors such as George Coloney. Similarly, the role of pro-Israel lobbies and corporations will also be crucial since they support candidates that favour Israel. Both Harris and Trump are wooing these entities.

The campaign is unfolding as a high-stakes contest between two sharply contrasting narratives and visions that will affect the American politics, society, culture and economy in the long-term. The Democrats led Kamala Harris are leveraging a strategy focused on social justice, healthcare, affordable housing, documented immigration and, above all, economic reform. The Trump-led Republicans are emphasising right-wing populist and hyper-nationalist themes. The swing states will remain the focal point of intense campaigning by both sides in the coming days, with the (social) media playing a significant role in framing competing narratives. The second attempt on Trump’s life has added an unexpected dimension to the campaign dynamics. As the election approaches, the strategies will get more complex and could make electoral outcome harder to predict.


The writer has a PhD in political science from Heidelberg University and a post-doc from UC Berkeley. He is a DAAD, FDDI and Fulbright fellow and an associate professor. He can be reached at ejaz.bhatty@gmail.com

Campaigning for victory