Trump vs Harris: How the US electorate splits ahead of Election Day

WASHINGTON: The race between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris has divided the US electorate along lines of gender, race and education, with Trump improving his standing among men - particularly Hispanic men while Harris’ support has surged among women, helping her cut away at the Republicans’ longstanding edge with white voters.

The following figures draw from an analysis of more than 14,000 responses by registered voters in Reuters/Ipsos polls conducted in October of this year and in the same month of 2020. The numbers have levels of precision between 2 and 6 percentage points

Among women, Harris led Trump this month by 12 percentage points: 50 percent to 38 percent. By comparison, Biden led Trump by 5 points among women voters in October 2020. Some respondents in the polls said they were unsure how they would vote, or that they might pick a third-party candidate or not vote at all.

Democrats’ gains among women have been fueled by Harris’ standing among white women. Harris trailed Trump by 2 points among white women- 46 percent to 44 percent, a much smaller margin than the 16-point lead Trump had over Biden four years earlier.

Among men, Trump led Harris by 7 points: 48 percent to 41 percent. Ahead of the 2020 election, Trump was leading Biden by 1 point: 45percent to 44 percent. Trump’s improved standing with male voters was driven in part by his gains among Hispanic men. Trump was trailing Harris by just 2 percentage points among Hispanic men - 46 percent to 44 percent - compared with his 16-point deficit with Biden - 53 percent to 37 percent - at the same point in 2020.