ISLAMABAD: An international report launched on Monday revealed that illicit trade in major sectors is causing a staggering loss of over Rs700 billion to Pakistan’s national economy annually, while also undermining the profitability of the formal sector.
The report, presented by Jeff Hardy of the Transnational Alliance to Combat Illicit Trade (TRACIT), highlighted how illicit trade contributes to corruption, money laundering, and tax evasion in Pakistan.
During the report’s launch event, hosted by the Policy Research Institute of Market Economy (PRIME), policy recommendations were presented to government and industry stakeholders. The report underscored the impact of Pakistan’s economic challenges, including a high inflation rate of 25 percent. The steep rise in prices has severely impacted consumer purchasing power, driving the demand for illicit goods.
“Record high inflation exacerbates the problem,” stated TRACIT Director-General Jeff Hardy. “When prices outpace incomes, consumers turn to illicit products for cheaper alternatives,” he added.
Dr. Ali Salman, Executive Director of PRIME, emphasised that high taxes and tariffs fuel a $68 billion black-and-grey market in Pakistan, exacerbated by soaring inflation. The report identified key sectors affected by illicit trade, including food fraud, illicit pesticides, counterfeiting, and trade in substandard pharmaceuticals. Approximately 40 percent of medicines in Pakistan are estimated to be counterfeit or substandard.
Efforts to curb illicit trade in pesticides have shown promise, with recent government seizures and initiatives by the Department of Plant Protection. Cigarette smuggling is rampant, with over half of cigarettes sold in Pakistan evading taxes, leading to annual revenue losses of USD 860 million. Strengthening enforcement and track-and-trace systems can help mitigate tax evasion.
Counterfeiting, previously dominated by imports, has seen a surge in local production, exacerbating the issue. A comprehensive approach to tackling counterfeiting is essential for Pakistan’s economic revival.
Mr. Hardy emphasised the need for robust enforcement against smuggling, money laundering, and tax evasion, which have plagued Pakistan’s economy for years. Tax evasion amounts to six percent of GDP, with illicit trade in various sectors contributing significantly. Enhanced enforcement and tax collection mechanisms are vital for economic stability and debt sustainability. Tracit and Prime signed an MoU to collaborate in combating illicit trade, including conducting in-depth investigations into its impact on the Pakistani economy.
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