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Thursday December 26, 2024

What are Pakistan's chances of making it to World Cup semi-finals?

Green Shirts must win their match against defending champions England on November 11 to make it to semis

By Web Desk
November 04, 2023
Pakistan´s Fakhar Zaman celebrates with his captain Babar Azam (right) after scoring a century during the World Cup match between New Zealand and Pakistan at the M. Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru on November 4, 2023. — AFP
Pakistan´s Fakhar Zaman celebrates with his captain Babar Azam (right) after scoring a century during the World Cup match between New Zealand and Pakistan at the M. Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru on November 4, 2023. — AFP

Regardless of Pakistan's much-needed victory against New Zealand courtesy of Fakhar Zaman's blistering knock, the Green Shirts are still not over the line as their progression into the semi-finals still depends upon various factors.

With today's 21-run victory that has kept Babar Azam's men alive in the World Cup, it is imperative to assess different scenarios that will decide the Men in Green's future in the tournament.

The best-case scenario for Pakistan is to secure a win against England and if Sri Lanka beat the Kiwis on November 9, the national side might likely qualify for the semis.

Apart from this straightforward scenario, the Men in Green's future in the tournament also depends upon Afghanistan, who currently are tied with Pakistan with eight points.

If Afghanistan win their next two matches — against Australia and South Africa — they will qualify for the semis with 12 points.

However, even if they win one of their two remaining matches and Pakistan also wins their next match against England, both teams will again tie on the points table with 10 points, bringing the net run-rate (NRR) into play.

At present, Pakistan's NRR stands at +0.036 as compared to Afghanistan's -0.330. However, the equation might change as Pakistan are yet to play one more match, whereas Afghanistan have two more matches in the tournament.

The Green Shirts today won by DLS in the rain-affected match breaking their four-match losing streak in the mega-event.

Winning the toss and opting to field first, the Kiwis took Pakistani bowlers to the cleaners to propel their side to a massive 401-run total.

Chasing a mammoth target, Pakistan suffered a setback when opener Abdullah Shafique was dismissed for a meagre four runs after playing nine balls.

However, Fakhar fought back as he also got support from skipper Babar, who did not disappoint and has lived up to the moment so far.

The run-chase was suspended multiple times due to rain and the match was eventually called off.

Fakhar's 63-ball blistering century ensured that Pakistan stayed ahead of the par-score and secured a 21-run victory.