How the ‘pager attack’ is redefining military power

By Farrukh Saleem
September 24, 2024
People gather outside a hospital, as hundreds of members of the Lebanese armed group Hezbollah, including fighters and medics, were seriously wounded on Tuesday when the pagers they use to communicate exploded, according to a security source, in Beirut, Lebanon September 17, 2024. — Reuters

The “pager attack” paradigm represents a pivotal shift from conventional mass mobilization to precision-targeted, distributed and disruptive warfare. The “pager attack” has demonstrated the efficacy of small, agile combat units operating under decentralized command, leveraging real-time coordination to achieve strategic objectives with pinpoint accuracy. The “pager attack” underscores how smaller, highly maneuverable forces can asymmetrically disrupt and neutralize larger, more conventional adversaries. Then there’s the psychological dimension of The “Pager Attack”—where real-time, coordinated strikes generate confusion, disorientation, and fear among opposing forces.

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The “pager attack” encapsulates the future of modern warfare: AI-driven, integrated, rapid-paced battlespace, dominated by electronic warfare and the seamless fusion of intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) with operational execution. This has rendered traditional 40-ton, $4.5 million main battle tanks increasingly obsolete in many operational contexts. These behemoths, which were once the backbone of conventional military power, are not only extremely expensive to deploy and maintain but also highly susceptible to modern anti-tank weapons, cyber-attacks, and real-time intelligence-driven ambushes.

Similarly, the role of $20 million supersonic multirole fighter aircraft—each with an operational cost of $20,000 per flight hour—is increasingly losing relevance. Tactical drones, such as the Raven and Puma, costing as little as $100,000, along with AI-driven combat platforms, can now execute comparable or even superior missions with greater precision at a fraction of the cost.

Imagine, drones like the DJI Phantom 4 and Parrot Anafi can be equipped with AI-enhanced surveillance features for as little as $1,000 to $5,000. Imagine, platforms such as the Skydio 2 offer autonomous navigation and tracking capabilities at around $1,000. Imagine, AI-driven facial recognition systems, like Clearview AI and AnyVision, are deployed for under $10,000 per unit. Imagine, low-cost AI-enabled platforms such as the FLIR Black Hornet nano-drone, priced at around $40,000, offer reconnaissance capabilities in urban environments. Imagine, ground-based systems like the Ghost Robotics Vision 60 and Boston Dynamics’ Spot provide AI-enhanced mobility and surveillance for roughly $150,000. Other low-cost AI-driven solutions include Shield AI’s Hivemind, Palantir’s Gotham for data analysis, and the Anduril Lattice system for automated threat detection—all of which deliver high-tech capabilities at a fraction of the cost of traditional manned systems, further revolutionizing the battlefield.

Yes, there’s a growing trend towards urban warfare and asymmetric tactics. The “pager attack” exemplifies the shift towards AI-driven, precision engagements in urban theaters. Yes, central to this evolution is the integration of AI-driven systems capable of identifying, tracking, and engaging human targets based on behavior, appearance, and movement patterns.

Yes, the “pager attack” employed advanced technologies such as computer vision, facial recognition, and machine learning to rapidly and accurately identify persons of interest. Yes, these systems enable real-time decision-making and targeting capabilities, further enhancing the lethality and efficiency of urban combat operations in a highly dynamic, data-rich battlespace.

Who could have imagined that penetrating the supply chain and infecting pagers and walkie-talkies could dismantle an adversary’s entire command and control system? Who would have envisioned the concept of these ‘mobile bombs’—devices that, once compromised, function as precision-guided disruptions within enemy networks? Could the army’s supply chains for food and medicine also be vulnerable to such infiltrations?

Yes, the “pager attack” represents a radical evolution in electronic warfare. Yes, the “pager attack” has turned everyday communication tools into Trojan horses. Yes, attackers can cripple vital systems and sow chaos and confusion among command structures.

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